| TOPIC | CRISIS LEVEL | DOM. INDICATOR | TREND |
|---|---|---|---|
| IP-T2 Korean Peninsula (IP-T2 scored; IP-T1 NO CRISIS; IP-T3 baselining) | ENVIRONMENT | ABNORMAL | ↑ |
As of 23 Oct 2026.
1 calls logged · 1 open · 0 resolved (0 hits, 0 misses) · mean Brier n/a (0 = perfect)
| ID | PREDICTION | PROB. | RESOLVES BY |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPA-01 | North Korea conducts a ballistic missile launch between 23 Oct and 15 Nov 2026 | 45% | 15 Nov 2026 |
| ID | PREDICTION | PROB. | PREDICTED | CONFIRMED | BRIER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No calls confirmed yet | |||||