Cyber threats to critical infrastructure, semiconductors and compute supply, space and undersea infrastructure, and AI governance and incidents.
WIRE Technology & Cyber: 5 calls logged · 5 open · 0 resolved (0 hits, 0 misses) · mean Brier n/a (0 = perfect)
| ID | PREDICTION | PROB. | RESOLVES BY | WIRE / TOPIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEC-04 | CISA adds CVE-2026-109618 or CVE-2026-109619 (PHP2Shell) to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog by 6 Nov 2026 | 70% | 6 Nov 2026 | Tech & Cyber Technology & Cyber |
| TEC-02 | MOFCOM publishes an announcement extending or replacing the suspension in MOFCOM Announcement No. 70 (2025) beyond 10 Nov 2026 | 70% | 10 Nov 2026 | Tech & Cyber Technology & Cyber |
| TEC-05 | A national government cyber agency, or an affected organisation in an official statement or SEC filing, confirms at least one successful compromise via CVE-2026-109618 or CVE-2026-109619 by 20 Nov 2026 | 75% | 20 Nov 2026 | Tech & Cyber Technology & Cyber |
| TEC-03 | CISA KEV adds 10 or more entries in at least one Monday-Sunday week from 26 Oct to 22 Nov 2026 | 65% | 23 Nov 2026 | Tech & Cyber Technology & Cyber |
| TEC-01 | Police, prosecutors or a government ministry publicly confirm a new arson or sabotage attack (including a failed attempt) on a Starlink or other satellite ground station in an EU or NATO European state, occurring 23 Oct-30 Nov 2026 | 60% | 30 Nov 2026 | Tech & Cyber Technology & Cyber |
| ID | PREDICTION | PROB. | PREDICTED | CONFIRMED | BRIER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No calls confirmed yet | |||||