Current events through the life of the Orthodox Church: church and state, inter-Orthodox relations, the Holy Land, geopolitics, and a daily spiritual reading.
ENVIRONMENT Trend ↑ · 23 Oct 2026
Kyiv appeals court dissolves the UOC's Rovenky Eparchy but refuses to seize its property; Moscow's Synod issues rules for receiving Ukrainian 'schismatics'; Bartholomew decries 'heretical ideologies'.
WIRE Orthodox: 5 calls logged · 5 open · 0 resolved (0 hits, 0 misses) · mean Brier n/a (0 = perfect)
| ID | PREDICTION | PROB. | RESOLVES BY | WIRE / TOPIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORT-05 | The final communique of the 16th session of the Holy Synod of the Patriarchate of Antioch (Balamand, 20-23 Oct 2026) explicitly addresses the Ukrainian church question or Moscow-Constantinople relations | 25% | 31 Oct 2026 | Orthodox Orthodox |
| ORT-04 | The Moscow Patriarchate publicly responds to Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew's 22 Oct 2026 remark on 'heretical ideologies, arising from hegemonic tendencies' within a section of Orthodoxy | 30% | 15 Nov 2026 | Orthodox Orthodox |
| ORT-03 | DESS publishes a finding or order of ROC affiliation against at least one more UOC eparchy, monastery or diocesan administration (other than the Balta Eparchy and the Kyiv Metropolis) | 70% | 30 Nov 2026 | Orthodox Orthodox |
| ORT-01 | Ukraine's Supreme Court issues a ruling on the Kyiv Metropolis appeal in the DESS liquidation case (No. 855/11/25) | 40% | 30 Nov 2026 | Orthodox Orthodox |
| ORT-02 | Holy Synod of the Russian Orthodox Church or the MP Department for External Church Relations issues an official statement or synodal decision explicitly addressing the Bulgarian Patriarch's 2026 concelebration with the Ecumenical Patriarch or his Athos visit | 25% | 30 Nov 2026 | Orthodox Orthodox |
| ID | PREDICTION | PROB. | PREDICTED | CONFIRMED | BRIER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No calls confirmed yet | |||||